Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.007962 0.008960 0.010051 0.011335 0.012809 0.014451 0.016424
2025-01-05 0.006615 0.008025 0.009705 0.011864 0.014585 0.017923 0.022364
2025-01-12 0.005505 0.007005 0.008889 0.011456 0.014896 0.019399 0.025823
2025-01-19 0.004759 0.006287 0.008293 0.011156 0.015191 0.020764 0.029195
2025-01-26 0.004288 0.005853 0.007987 0.011156 0.015829 0.022602 0.033413
2025-02-02 0.004063 0.005716 0.008050 0.011654 0.017201 0.025622 0.039783
2025-02-09 0.003719 0.005367 0.007765 0.011590 0.017696 0.027348 0.044337
2025-02-16 0.003474 0.005134 0.007617 0.011704 0.018460 0.029561 0.049989
2025-02-23 0.003196 0.004824 0.007318 0.011535 0.018729 0.030966 0.054412
2025-03-02 0.003024 0.004659 0.007226 0.011687 0.019538 0.033371 0.060994
2025-03-09 0.002824 0.004431 0.007009 0.011601 0.019915 0.035039 0.066407
2025-03-16 0.002571 0.004096 0.006588 0.011119 0.019522 0.035233 0.068898
2025-03-23 0.002411 0.003910 0.006412 0.011072 0.019966 0.037144 0.075424
2025-03-30 0.002356 0.003899 0.006538 0.011591 0.021552 0.041532 0.088143
2025-04-06 0.002164 0.003634 0.006193 0.011193 0.021290 0.042120 0.092415
2025-04-13 0.002007 0.003419 0.005918 0.010900 0.021204 0.043058 0.097667
2025-04-20 0.001905 0.003295 0.005799 0.010900 0.021720 0.045364 0.106693
2025-04-27 0.001875 0.003299 0.005919 0.011386 0.023324 0.050334 0.123518
2025-05-04 0.001779 0.003173 0.005779 0.011323 0.023717 0.052555 0.133517
2025-05-11 0.001711 0.003094 0.005725 0.011434 0.024513 0.055851 0.147208
2025-05-18 0.001618 0.002960 0.005551 0.011270 0.024649 0.057532 0.156586
2025-05-25 0.001565 0.002901 0.005521 0.011417 0.025542 0.061267 0.172992
2025-06-01 0.001492 0.002797 0.005393 0.011334 0.025862 0.063551 0.185407